荷蘭為什么不能贏得世界杯?
When a country makes it to the final of one World Cup, they are generally among the favourites to go all the way at the next tournament four years later. And when said team qualifies for that next World Cup by recording nine wins and one draw in the qualification campaign, there is usually no further discussion over whether they are among the teams to beat. Yet things are slightly different with Netherlands. The Dutch hugely disappointed at Euro 2012 – where they crashed out at the group stages after defeats against Germany, Portugal and Denmark – and have since not only replaced head coach Bert van Marwijk with Louis van Gaal, but have completely overhauled their squad as well. From the team that reached the final in South Africa, only seven players have made the cut again for this summer’s tournament, with just four of them expected to make Holland’s starting XI in Brazil – Nigel de Jong, Robin van Persie, Wesley Sneijder and Arjen Robben. It’s therefore fair to say Netherlands are no longer the team they were four years ago, and expectations surrounding the team have changed, too. Holland might be one of only five countries to have made it to the World Cup final on at least three occasions – Brazil, Italy, Germany and Argentina being the other four - but they have still yet to lift the trophy and it seems unlikely that they will at last emerge victorious this summer. Oranje might have arguably one of the best coaches in the world in Van Gaal - who has won domestic league titles in Netherlands, Spain and Germany - but there’s only so much a coach can do. The future Manchester United manager has a squad that seemingly lacks the quality to compete with the best teams in the world, prompting the 62-year-old to change Holland’s famous 4-3-3 formation to a more defensive 5-3-2. "Netherlands are having a little bit more of a difficult time now than four years ago. We don't have the 10 or 11 world-class players in our team like before. We have maybe three or four," Holland legend Edwin van der Sar recently toldfifa.com. "And those world-class players are getting older, so it's about time that the young Dutch generation pick up the slack from the older ones and hopefully can achieve, first with their clubs and then the national team, a little more success than over the last three or four years." Holland’s impressive qualification campaign might suggest that Van der Sar’s comments are not an accurate reflection of the team’s strength, but there’s no denying that the Dutch starting XI this summer will not be as star-studded as at previous tournaments. Although Jasper Cillessen has proven to be a good goalkeeper at Ajax this season, Oranje’s No.1 is by no means at the same level as the aforementioned Van der Sar was during his best years and the 25-year-old has very little experience at the highest level. Cillessen’s C.V would have been less of a problem if Holland had some high-profile names in defence, yet their back five is rather inexperienced, too. Only Aston Villa centre-back Ron Vlaar plies his trade outside of the Dutch Eredivisie and even he plays for a relatively modest club. Daryl Janmaat, Stefan de Vrij and Bruno Martins Indi all have potential, but need at least a few more years to reach their peak. In midfield, De Jong, Sneijder and Jonathan de Guzman all remain well-respected players, but the latter is by no means among the best in the world in his position, while De Jong and Sneijder are no longer at the level that saw them become key players for Oranje during the 2010 World Cup either. The Dutch have plenty of quality in attack, though, and Van Gaal is well aware of Robben and Van Persie's ability to single-handedly decide matches, having made them his only two "untouchables" after Kevin Strootman was ruled out of the World Cup due to injury. "Only Van Persie and Robben are sure of their spot, but I've said that for a year and a half," the Holland coach recently said about his 23-man squad. With Schalke hitman Klaas-Jan Huntelaar and PSV wonderkid Memphis Depay ready to make an impact, too, attack seems to be the one area where Netherlands can still compete with the best. Their prowess up-front does not make up for their vulnerability in defence, however, and Van Gaal’s men could face a tough task to even survive the group stages. "Spain-Netherlands is a very tough opening game. Holland should be happy if they survive the groups. That would already be a good achievement and something I would be satisfied with," Dutch hero Johan Cruyff stated last month. Netherlands have plenty of promising youngsters to support their two true world-class players, yet this summer's tournament will likely come too soon for the current crop of players. Another disappointing tournament could very well be on the cards for the 2010 World Cup runners-up following their Euro 2012 debacle. |
通常情況下,如果一支國(guó)家隊(duì)殺進(jìn)了某屆世界杯決賽,他們?cè)谒哪旰蟮南乱粚檬澜绫瓡?huì)一直被看好為熱門球隊(duì)之一。而說(shuō)到這支球隊(duì)在預(yù)選賽中還是以九勝一平的佳績(jī)挺進(jìn)決賽圈,那些關(guān)于這支國(guó)家隊(duì)是否身處頂尖球隊(duì)之列的疑問(wèn)一般而言沒(méi)有衍生的空間。然而對(duì)于這支荷蘭隊(duì),情況稍有不同。 荷蘭人在2012歐洲杯的表現(xiàn)極度令人失望—— 接連負(fù)于德國(guó),葡萄牙和丹麥之后小組賽黯然出局。在此之后他們不僅用范加爾代替范馬爾維克成為了國(guó)家隊(duì)主帥,還已經(jīng)完全地翻新了他們的陣容。 那支在南非打進(jìn)決賽的隊(duì)伍中只有7名球員進(jìn)入了今年世界杯的陣容,而在這些人之中只有4人是可預(yù)料的主力人選——尼格爾·德容,羅賓·范佩西,韋斯利·斯內(nèi)德以及羅本。 因此公平地說(shuō),這支荷蘭隊(duì)和四年前的他們已經(jīng)不是同一支球隊(duì),并且圍繞在現(xiàn)在這支球隊(duì)身上的期望值也發(fā)生了轉(zhuǎn)變。盡管荷蘭是僅有的五個(gè)曾經(jīng)三度打進(jìn)世界杯決賽的國(guó)家之一(另外的4個(gè)巨人分別為巴西,意大利,德國(guó)和阿根廷),但他們?nèi)匀晃丛A得過(guò)大力神杯,而且也似乎不太可能在這個(gè)夏天實(shí)現(xiàn)凱旋。 橙衣軍團(tuán)擁有可能是世界上最優(yōu)秀的教練之一范加爾(曾贏得過(guò)荷蘭,西班牙,德國(guó)的頂級(jí)聯(lián)賽冠軍頭銜),然而一個(gè)教練能做的畢竟有限。這位未來(lái)的曼聯(lián)主帥手下的陣容看起來(lái)缺乏能和其他頂尖的國(guó)家隊(duì)一爭(zhēng)高下的實(shí)力,這也促使了這位62歲的教頭把荷蘭隊(duì)的場(chǎng)上陣型從他們著名的4-3-3變更為更注重防守的5-3-2。 “荷蘭隊(duì)正在經(jīng)歷一個(gè)比四年前稍為艱苦的階段。我們不像以前一樣,在大名單中擁有10或11名世界級(jí)球員。現(xiàn)在可能有3或4個(gè),”荷蘭國(guó)家隊(duì)傳奇埃范德薩最近在接受國(guó)際足聯(lián)官網(wǎng)采訪時(shí)如是說(shuō)道。 “而且那幾個(gè)世界級(jí)球員也正在變老,所以荷蘭足球的年青一代是時(shí)候從前輩手上接過(guò)這個(gè)爛攤子,希望他們能先是跟隨各自的俱樂(lè)部獲得一些成績(jī),接著在國(guó)家隊(duì)贏取比過(guò)去3到4年更大的成就?!?/p> 荷蘭隊(duì)可觀的預(yù)選賽征程或許表明了范德薩的評(píng)論并沒(méi)有準(zhǔn)確地反映出這支球隊(duì)的強(qiáng)處,然而無(wú)可否認(rèn),這個(gè)夏天荷蘭隊(duì)的首發(fā)陣容將不再如以往般星光閃耀。 門將位置上雖然賈斯珀·希列森通過(guò)這個(gè)賽季在阿賈克斯的表現(xiàn)已經(jīng)證明了自己是一名不錯(cuò)的門將,這位橙衣軍團(tuán)現(xiàn)任1號(hào)的發(fā)揮仍是根本不能和上文提到的范德薩在其巔峰時(shí)期的表現(xiàn)相提并論,而且這位25歲的年輕人在最高級(jí)別的賽事中還相當(dāng)缺乏經(jīng)驗(yàn)。 如果荷蘭隊(duì)的防線能有一些資深的后衛(wèi)坐鎮(zhèn),希列森的履歷本不是個(gè)問(wèn)題,問(wèn)題是他們的后防5人全都是菜鳥。其中只有效力于阿斯頓維拉的中衛(wèi)弗拉爾有在荷甲以外的聯(lián)賽踢球的經(jīng)歷,而且即使是他,所效力的也算不上大球會(huì)。達(dá)里爾·揚(yáng)馬特,斯特凡·德弗里以及布魯諾·馬丁斯·因迪都是有潛能的選手,但他們至少需要多幾年的時(shí)間來(lái)到達(dá)各自的巔峰。 在中場(chǎng),德容,斯內(nèi)德和若納坦·德古茲曼都是口碑不錯(cuò)的球員,不過(guò)后者在他那個(gè)位置上絕非世界頂級(jí),而前兩者也已不再擁有在2010年世界杯的那支亞軍陣容中充當(dāng)關(guān)鍵球員的水平。 荷蘭隊(duì)在攻擊線上倒是火力強(qiáng)大,范加爾非常清楚羅本和范佩西能利用個(gè)人能力獨(dú)自決定比賽,在中場(chǎng)凱文·斯特魯曼因傷無(wú)緣本屆世界杯后,他聲稱唯獨(dú)這兩人的主力地位在他手下是“不可觸犯”的?!爸挥蟹杜逦骱土_本能確保他們的一席之地,不過(guò)這話我已經(jīng)說(shuō)了一年半了,”荷蘭主帥在最近談到他的23人大名單時(shí)這么說(shuō)道。另外攻擊線上還有效力于沙爾克的殺手克拉斯-揚(yáng)·亨特拉爾和埃因霍溫神童孟菲斯·德佩,他們也已準(zhǔn)備好隨時(shí)發(fā)揮作用,這樣看來(lái)進(jìn)攻是荷蘭隊(duì)能和其他勁旅掰掰手腕的領(lǐng)域。 然而,他們彪悍的前場(chǎng)火力還是無(wú)法掩蓋防守的脆弱,對(duì)于范加爾的球隊(duì)來(lái)說(shuō),即使是小組出線也可稱得上是一個(gè)艱難的考驗(yàn)。 “對(duì)陣西班牙的首場(chǎng)比賽將非常艱難。荷蘭隊(duì)能從小組出線就應(yīng)該感到開心了。那已經(jīng)是個(gè)不錯(cuò)的成績(jī),我會(huì)對(duì)此滿足,”荷蘭傳奇克魯伊夫上個(gè)月說(shuō)。 荷蘭陣中擁有不少有前途的新星能輔佐他們的兩位真正的世界級(jí)球星,可是今夏的這屆大賽對(duì)于這支青年軍而言想出成績(jī)可能還是太早了。在經(jīng)歷2012歐洲杯的崩潰之后,2010世界杯的亞軍可能又將記載一屆令人失望的大賽。 (譯者 sofiwong 編輯 齊磊) |
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